<\/p>\n
Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro and President Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva are locked in a close race ahead of Brazil\u2019s run-off election, according to a new poll.<\/p>\n
Bolsonaro would take 51% of valid votes, excluding blank and null ballots, to Lula\u2019s 49%, according to a Datafolha survey published Thursday. The gap is within the survey\u2019s 2-point margin of error.<\/p>\n
The right-wing senator led by 4 points in last week\u2019s Datafolha poll. The shifts for both candidates were also within the poll\u2019s margin of error.<\/p>\n
Bolsonaro finished ahead of Lula in the first round of the presidential contest on October 4, sparking a surge in Brazilian assets because investors broadly view him as more likely to pursue spending cuts and address the country\u2019s deteriorating fiscal situation. He outperformed Datafolha\u2019s final poll of the first round by about 5 points.<\/p>\n
The leftist Lula, 80, has sought to regain momentum ahead of the October 25 run-off, staging large street rallies and a last-minute legislative push. Late Wednesday, the Senate gave final passage to his plan to shorten Brazil\u2019s work week, the flagship promise of Lula\u2019s campaign.<\/p>\n
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Lower house lawmakers also approved his proposal to forgive debts of so-called micro entrepreneurs, the latest in a series of initiatives Lula has put forward in a bid to alleviate high levels of household indebtedness.<\/p>\n
On Thursday, he announced that he will propose legislation to provide free public transportation in Brazilian cities on weekends.<\/p>\n
Bolsonaro, the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, has pledged to take an aggressive approach to crime, which ranks as one of voters\u2019 top concerns. He\u2019s also vowed to seek the impeachment of the Supreme Court justice who oversaw his father\u2019s conviction for attempting a coup following the 2022 election. He has also called for a \u201cbig cut\u201d to spending, although he\u2019s provided few details about his fiscal plans.<\/p>\n
The latest battleground between the two candidates is a bill that proposes an overhaul of public security, including closer cooperation between federal and local forces as well as harsher sentences for those convicted of organised crime offences.<\/p>\n
The measure is part of Lula\u2019s bid to blunt Bolsonaro\u2019s advantage on a top-of-mind concern for Brazilians and counter perceptions he\u2019s soft on crime. But at the last minute, Bolsonaro\u2019s allies proposed adding a provision to lower the age of criminal responsibility in an effort to pressure his rival.<\/p>\n
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Lula, who has historically opposed punitive measures, said in an interview with TV Globo late Thursday that he supports lowering the age at which individuals can be criminally prosecuted for heinous crimes to 16 from 18. Bolsonaro argues it should be lowered further to 14.<\/p>\n
\u201cThis is something we\u2019ve defended for decades,\u201d Bolsonaro said on a YouTube live with allies earlier on Thursday.<\/p>\n
Datafolha interviewed 2 520 people on October 13-14, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points and a 95% confidence level. The survey is registered with Brazil\u2019s electoral court at BR-00466\/2026.<\/p>\n
\u00a9 2026 Bloomberg<\/p>\n
#Bolsonaro #Lula #tight #race #ahead #runoff #poll #shows<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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