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The clock is ticking toward a new round of fighting in the U.S.-Iran war, but this time the damage could be much more widespread, stretching to new regions and different types of targets.<\/p>\n
President Donald Trump has said he\u2019s contemplating \u201canother little Epic Fury\u201d after the U.S. midterm elections on Tuesday. <\/p>\n
The U.S. has already sent a third aircraft carrier and Marine expeditionary unit to the Middle East, and told allies in the region to prepare for a possible short but intense renewal of fighting, according to the Wall Street Journal.<\/p>\n
The Iranian regime similarly stepped up its threats on how it would respond, seeking to deter an attack by threatening disproportionate and no-holds-barred retaliation.<\/p>\n
On Saturday, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei warned Iran\u2019s response would be \u201cwithout any geographical limitations,\u201d adding that the \u201cdata bank of targets should be updated so that the armed forces could hit all kinds of financial and non-financial assets.\u201d<\/p>\n
In recent weeks, Iran has warned undersea internet cables and data centers would be targets. The foiled attack on a British air base used by U.S. forces has also been attributed to Tehran.<\/p>\n
And while North Koreans have been blamed for the $6.3 billion crypto heist at Binance, it shows how vulnerable such assets are to Iran, which is also adept at cyberattacks. At the same time, the Pentagon is investigating whether hackers hit freezers on U.S. military bases.<\/p>\n
The RAND think tank pointed out last week that hostile Iranian activity \u201cspans the globe,\u201d with proxy Hezbollah in Latin America and reported plots against civilians in Europe.<\/p>\n
\u201cUnbound and bent on revenge, Iran is unlikely to be contained to just one corner of the globe,\u201d analysts wrote, arguing that the least bad option would be for the U.S. to continue its naval blockade and not launch new attacks.<\/p>\n
Diplomacy is ongoing with the U.S. and Iran exchanging messages via intermediaries, but neither side has budged from their initial demands, dampening hopes for a breakthrough in the next few days.<\/p>\n
Given the hardened rhetoric from the regime with threats of unrestricted retaliation, experts now detect a change in Iran\u2019s tactics against the U.S. and see greater odds of the war returning.<\/p>\n
For Hamidreza Azizi, senior Iran analyst at the Crisis Group, the most important development was the message from Khamenei.<\/p>\n
\u201cThis language suggests a further evolution in Iran\u2019s military strategy,\u201d he posted on X on Saturday. \u201cSince the beginning of the war, Tehran has increasingly moved away from its traditional emphasis on proportionate response and retaliation toward a more offensive approach aimed at imposing costs on adversaries. The latest statements appear to take this logic a step further.\u201d<\/p>\n
Azizi also cited remarks from another top official who indicated Iran could stage a preemptive strike if preparations for hostile action were confirmed. In addition, Khamenei insisted Iran would determine when and how any renewed conflict ends.<\/p>\n
Iran is also wary of further diplomatic efforts, especially since previous attacks came even in the middle of talks with the U.S. early this year and last summer.<\/p>\n
\u201cIran appears increasingly determined to prevent a repetition of previous scenarios in which negotiations or temporary ceasefires were followed by renewed military conflict,\u201d Azizi added. \u201cFrom Tehran\u2019s perspective, the objective is to make another attack so costly and unpredictable that Washington would have to reconsider the option altogether.\u201d<\/p>\n
Meanwhile, Iran still has thousands of missiles and drones in its arsenal that can inflict catastrophic damage to its neighbors in the Persian Gulf area.<\/p>\n
That\u2019s as stockpiles of U.S. interceptors have already been depleted to critically low levels, while newer Iranian missiles has demonstrated the ability to evade air-defense systems.<\/p>\n
Considering how much damage the region\u2019s energy infrastructure sustained earlier in the war, it can\u2019t absorb another round of fighting, according to Amir Handjani\u00a0is a board member at the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft.<\/p>\n
Indeed, even U.S. military bases across the Middle East have been heavily damaged by Iranian drones and missiles.<\/p>\n
\u201cGulf producers spent five decades persuading the world that their supply could withstand regional wars. Eight months of fighting on two fronts have badly weakened that case. A negotiated end to the war would give the region time to rebuild it,\u201d Handjani wrote.<\/p>\n
\u201cAnother round, on top of the Saudi-Houthi war, would leave damage to infrastructure and to importers\u2019 confidence that markets are likely to carry for a generation.\u201d<\/p>\n
#Iran #vows #response #Mideast #target #financial #assets #oil #markets #fear #generational #damage<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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