<\/p>\n
The African National Congress, South Africa\u2019s biggest political party, appears to have haemorrhaged support in Wednesday\u2019s municipal elections, modelling based on the early results shows.<\/p>\n
The ANC is on track to win about 31.7% of the vote at the national level, the Council for Scientific and Industrial Research said in a posting on X, a prediction based on an extrapolation of the early official tallies. Its forecasts have proved accurate in previous elections.<\/p>\n
The state institute also sees the Democratic Alliance garnering 25.7% backing, with former President Jacob Zuma\u2019s uMkhonto weSizwe Party, or MKP, garnering 9%, the Economic Freedom Fighters 6.1% and ActionSA 5.1%.<\/p>\n
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Voters abandon ANC, but opposition parties fail to inspire confidence<\/p>\n
The overarching national projections won\u2019t reflect who is likely to control the major towns, with support for a number of the parties concentrated in some specific areas \u2014 for example the port city of Durban in the province of KwaZulu-Natal, where Zuma\u2019s MKP could make inroads.<\/p>\n
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In the last municipal elections in 2021, the ANC won 45.6% support, the DA 21.7% and the EFF 10.3%. The MKP was only formed in 2023.<\/p>\n
A series of opinion polls conducted before the election predicted the ANC\u2019s decline, in a backlash against failing services in many municipalities. The party ruled the country outright for three decades after apartheid ended in 1994, but lost its national majority in 2024 when it won just over 40% support.<\/p>\n
It then entered into a coalition with the DA and eight smaller rivals to form a so-called government of national unity. Investors will be watching for any surge in backing for populist opposition parties and what that could mean for the stability of the ruling alliance, which has prioritised economic growth and job creation.<\/p>\n
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Could this be the end of autonomy for municipalities?
Elections, valuations, and long-term strategy<\/p>\n
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The electoral commission is expected to release the outcome of the local government vote and the allocation of seats on the 257 municipal councils over the weekend.<\/p>\n
With 25% of the vote counted, the ANC had 32% support, the DA 28.9%, MKP 5.9%, the EFF 5.4%, the Patriotic Alliance 4.2%, Freedom Front Plus 4.1%, ActionSA at 3% and the Inkatha Freedom Party 2.7%, official tallies show.<\/p>\n
Early results aren\u2019t always a reliable gauge of party support, because votes from urban areas where the DA gets most of its support are tallied first.<\/p>\n
\u00a9 2026 Bloomberg<\/p>\n
#ANC #loses #ground #South #African #municipal #vote #modelling #shows<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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