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If you own any gold, you probably felt today\u2019s selloff in your gut before you saw the chart.
That\u2019s exactly where Peter Schiff aimed his latest post on X (formerly Twitter).<\/p>\n
\u201cLet’s see if investors will buy today’s selloff in gold. While an extended war and higher oil prices are bearish for U.S. stocks and bonds, the results of war (soaring debt, rising inflation, recession, higher unemployment, and a housing and financial crisis) are bullish for gold,\u201d he wrote, laying out a chain reaction from battlefield to balance sheet to bullion.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Schiff isn\u2019t just talking about today. He\u2019s arguing that the very things making markets feel fragile right now are quietly rebuilding the same backdrop that has powered gold\u2019s biggest runs in the past.<\/p>\n
As someone who has watched readers swing from \u201cgold is dead\u201d to \u201cshould I sell everything and buy coins,\u201d I know that\u2019s the emotional tension you\u2019re living in.<\/p>\n
Schiff flags a troubling trend that could send gold soaring.<\/p>\n
The Peter Schiff Show<\/p>\n
The troubling trend Schiff sees taking shape<\/p>\n
Schiff has been shouting about this trend for weeks.<\/p>\n
Related: Morgan Stanley has a blunt message for gold investors<\/p>\n
In a recent post he said, \u201cWe are headed for a full-blown financial crisis,\u201d pointing to fresh import and export price data that, once annualized, implied inflation in the high\u2011teens, then warning that those numbers landed before oil jumped another 50% on the back of the Iran war and Strait of Hormuz disruptions, according to TheStreet\u2019s profile of his warning.<\/p>\n
In his latest gold comments, he connects the dots this way in my words:<\/p>\n
War spending explodes government deficits.Those deficits pile onto already high debt.Politicians lean on inflation and easier money instead of painful cuts.Higher inflation, recession risks and financial strain send investors back toward hard assets.<\/p>\n
More Gold:<\/p>\n
Gold just saw its biggest decline since 1983: what\u2019s nextGold and silver bugs face grim reality checkGold\u2019s price is falling fast: Here\u2019s what comes next<\/p>\n
That\u2019s the \u201ctroubling trend\u201d he\u2019s flagging: not just one war, but a pattern where fiscal stress and inflation keep coming back in new costumes.<\/p>\n
How Wall Street is, reluctantly, meeting him halfway<\/p>\n
Schiff has been early and loud on gold for years, and he\u2019s paid an opportunity cost when U.S. stocks kept running. But when I scan what big firms are saying now, his long\u2011running script doesn\u2019t feel so fringe.<\/p>\n
Bank of America says gold prices \u201care on a tear\u201d as inflation and unemployment concerns rise together, noting the metal surged 58% in 2025, trouncing both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq, according to a 2025 TheStreet summary. The analysis highlighted ETF inflows that jumped 880% in a single month and pointed straight at \u201celevated fiscal deficits,\u201d \u201crising debt,\u201d and a White House willing to cut rates with inflation still around 3% as reasons that \u201cshould remain supportive for gold.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n
A separate rundown of 2026 forecasts says major houses broadly expect deficits, global tensions and a weaker dollar to keep a firm floor under gold, with some outliers like Swiss Asia Capital\u2019s J\u00fcrg Kiener talking about the possibility of gold \u201creaching $8,000 an ounce\u201d over the next few years. That is miles more cautious than Schiff\u2019s most extreme scenarios, but the logic overlaps: war, debt, and sticky inflation tilt the playing field toward hard assets.<\/p>\n
Even commodity strategists who think gold ran too far in 2025 still tie the move to the same forces he is talking about.<\/p>\n
Does war always send gold soaring<\/p>\n
Here\u2019s where I put my own reporter hat on. I\u2019ve heard the \u201cwar means buy gold\u201d line for years, and it\u2019s only half true.<\/p>\n
A study of modern conflicts shows that gold tends to pop early in a war, then often gives those gains back once central banks start hiking rates.<\/p>\n
The Russia\u2011Ukraine conflict is a clean example: gold jumped about 15% on the invasion headlines, then fell 15% to 18% over the next eight months as the Federal Reserve ramped up its own \u201cwar on inflation,\u201d driving yields higher and the dollar stronger, according to analysis compiled by Discovery Alert.<\/p>\n
A similar conclusion was reached by FXStreet, writing that \u201cwar tends to quickly lose its grip on markets\u201d because once the initial spike passes, \u201cFederal Reserve interest rate increases\u201d and macro policy become the dominant forces in gold pricing.<\/p>\n
Even this year, gold\u2019s reaction has surprised people.<\/p>\n
The Iran war \u201cpushed gold into correction territory rather than to new highs,\u201d and one analyst argued that while an oil\u2011driven inflation shock echoes the 1970s, the immediate effect has been to delay rate cuts and keep real yields high, both of which weigh on the metal, as seen in one Trustnet piece.<\/p>\n
So if you\u2019re reading Schiff and thinking \u201cwar equals straight\u2011line gold boom,\u201d history tells you to slow down. The part of his thesis that travels better is not the headline shock, but the longer grind of higher debt, bigger deficits, and central banks boxed in by conflicting goals.<\/p>\n
What I\u2019d do with Schiff\u2019s warning as a small investor<\/p>\n
When I strip his tweet down to what it means for you, it comes down to one hard question. If he\u2019s even half right about debt, inflation and financial stress, do you want zero exposure to the asset that benefits from that world.<\/p>\n
Gold has already shown what it can do in this environment.<\/p>\n
In 2025 it surged more than 60% and has added another mid\u2011single\u2011digit gain so far in 2026, helped by big deficits, a softening dollar, and central banks diversifying out of U.S. Treasuries.<\/p>\n
At the same time, more cautious voices point out that sharp run\u2011ups have been followed by gut\u2011punch corrections before, including a 45% slide from 2011\u2019s highs through 2015 when conditions normalized.<\/p>\n
That mix is why I don\u2019t hear Schiff\u2019s post as \u201csell everything and buy gold.\u201d I hear it as \u201cdon\u2019t ignore the one asset class that tends to zig when debt, deficits, and war make everything else zag.\u201d<\/p>\n
If I were sitting with you at your kitchen table, I\u2019d ask three questions:<\/p>\n
Do you have any real diversifier in your portfolio if stocks and bonds both suffer under higher inflation and debt stress.Are you emotionally prepared for gold\u2019s own volatility if you add it, knowing it can drop 20% or more on the way to any big long\u2011term move.Are you treating Schiff\u2019s warning as one data point among many, or as a story you want to believe because it fits how angry you already feel about the economy.<\/p>\n
The uncomfortable truth is that he may be early again, or even wrong on the scale of what\u2019s coming. But the forces he\u2019s talking about (war spending, rising debt, inflation that never quite dies) are real, and they\u2019re already reshaping how central banks, big firms, and ordinary savers think about gold.<\/p>\n
If this week\u2019s selloff gave you a queasy feeling instead of a shopping list, his tweet is really an invitation to decide whether you want to keep reacting to gold or start giving it a small, clearly defined role in your long\u2011term plan.<\/p>\n
Related: Gold\u2019s biggest drop in decades hides a powerful tailwind<\/p>\n
#Peter #Schiff #flags #troubling #trend #send #gold #soaring<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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