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So it appears that America and Iran are moving closer on a proposal to restart peace talks. Yet it seems so indirect, like a carom shot in pool.<\/p>\n
Who can be sure? As I read it, from the media reports, principally Axios and the Wall Street Journal, America and Iran are working on a one-page framework to restart negotiations.<\/p>\n
So there has to be agreement on the one-pager, and if there is agreement, then actual negotiations might begin next week at Islamabad or Geneva, Switzerland.<\/p>\n
So if I get this even remotely right, and I don\u2019t have much direct information, we are negotiating in order to begin negotiating. Well, okay.<\/p>\n
And if the negotiations don\u2019t work out you can be sure that all bombing hell will descend on Iran \u2014 much worse than anything they\u2019ve seen before.<\/p>\n
As the president said on this whole thing this afternoon: “We\u2019re in good shape. And, now we\u2019re doing well. Now we have to get what we have to get. If we don\u2019t do that, we\u2019ll have to go a big step further. But with that being said, they want to make a deal. We\u2019ve had very good talks over the last 24 hours, and it\u2019s very possible that we\u2019ll make a deal.”<\/p>\n
Meanwhile, Project Freedom has been paused which frankly disappoints me because I had hoped our great United States Navy would have been able to ramp up 50 to 100 or more commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.<\/p>\n
And if there\u2019s a 30-day period of negotiations, the United States Navy\u2019s blockade would gradually be lifted. This too is disappointing.<\/p>\n
At this point, though, the blockade is very much still in place. So again, we\u2019ll wait to see more information. Another piece to this Iran story is President Trump\u2019s trip to Communist China. Is this part of the negotiation process?<\/p>\n
My hope has always been that America would exert complete control over the whole Arabian Gulf, including the Hormuz Strait for some considerable period of time.<\/p>\n
Now that may still happen. And of course our military forces are not going any place. And when Mr. Trump says it\u2019s very possible a deal can be reached, then I\u2019ll go along with that. I\u2019ve supported him the whole time. I know he\u2019s not going to make a bad deal.<\/p>\n
I know he\u2019ll insist on the key red lines of stopping Iranian enrichment of uranium. And transferring enriched uranium from Iran to the United States. And I believe the president would never allow Iran to have control over shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.<\/p>\n
What\u2019s more, I\u2019m certain he will insist that Iran stop its state-sponsored terrorism, and that war against Israel and for that matter its war against the United States.<\/p>\n
Yet there is a fear among our Gulf allies, that there\u2019s too much uncertainty and the American team.<\/p>\n
And so it would seem, regrettably, that there will be no major regime change in Iran. Which of course once again raises the issue of verification and trust.<\/p>\n
Iran has never allowed either. And right now that may be the toughest part of this whole story.<\/p>\n
#Regime #Change #Trust #Iran<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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