<\/p>\n
Landlocked and surrounded by richer, more powerful neighbours, Malawi has long been a victim of geography and economics. It now finds itself at the sharp end of a crisis being made more than 3 000 miles away.<\/p>\n
As farmers struggle with rising fuel costs and an increasing scarcity of fertiliser, there are concerns worldwide about the impact on crops.<\/p>\n
Read:
Fuel crunch from war threatens South African wheat, corn crops
Nations race to secure enough fertiliser and prevent food crisis
SA farms face El Ni\u00f1o drought risk on top of Iran war<\/p>\n
But Africa, where more than half of the 1.3 billion population relies on agriculture, is the most vulnerable along with parts of Asia. Malawi is an extreme example of how severe the consequences could be for food security.<\/p>\n
Small-scale farmers make up the bulk of the nation\u2019s 22 million people. As they prepare for the planting season, it\u2019s already getting too expensive to transport some fertiliser to rural regions, and that\u2019s if it\u2019s available at all.<\/p>\n
Global supplies of both fuel and plant nutrients are being choked off by the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz as the US and Israel wage war on Iran.<\/p>\n
Read:
Oil jumps as Hormuz Stays shut after Trump rebuffs Iran\u2019s offer
South Africa wheat plantings seen at 11-year low as costs surge<\/p>\n
\u201cMy biggest worry this year is not even just price, but availability,\u201d said Yashodan Gharat, Malawi country director at One Acre Fund, a nonprofit that supports farmers in 10 African countries. \u201cEverybody is going to be looking for fertiliser and when that\u2019s the case, will fertiliser come to a small market like Malawi? I have my doubts.\u201d<\/p>\n
The impact of the war led the United Nations to warn of spiking food costs for a continent where there were already alarm bells about potential famines and where governments also have limited ability to help.<\/p>\n
ADVERTISEMENT<\/p>\n
CONTINUE READING BELOW<\/p>\n
Africa also has on average lower use of fertilisers compared with, say, Europe and that means the soil is already at risk of undernourishment, according to producer Yara International ASA.<\/p>\n
Farmers in places like Nigeria and Lesotho say they are skipping fertilisers or scaling back the area they plan to plant crops. South Africa is forecasting its lowest wheat harvest in 12 years as winter planting begins. In Senegal, some are using cheaper products.<\/p>\n
\u201cAcross much of sub-Saharan Africa, where smallholder farmers use minimal fertiliser to begin with, any price spike can drastically reduce input usage and reduce yields that are already low,\u201d the UN\u2019s Food and Agriculture Organisation said in a March document. This risks \u201clower harvests, impacting their own consumption, and increased food price inflation,\u201d it said.<\/p>\n
The price of the most widely used nitrogen fertiliser, urea, surged more than 90% as Hormuz remains effectively blocked. About a third of global exports of urea, 20% of ammonia and a fifth of phosphate fertiliser moves through the strait from Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Iran and the United Arab Emirates.<\/p>\n
Malawi gets almost 60% of its nitrogen fertiliser imports from Gulf countries, according to the FAO, making it one of the most reliant countries in the world.<\/p>\n
Read: Inflation edges up before Iran oil shock registers<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
The US and Iran are still far apart on how to end the war and reopen sea passage. But even if the conflict comes to an end, recovery in fertiliser shipments is expected to be slow due to marine congestion and as plants take time to restart, according to Ashish Lakhotia, head of agricultural inputs at commodities trader ETG Group.<\/p>\n
Cargoes his company ordered have been canceled and others diverted, while China is curbing exports to ensure it has enough for itself, he said.<\/p>\n
ADVERTISEMENT:<\/p>\n
CONTINUE READING BELOW<\/p>\n
In West Africa, farmers are not only struggling to afford fertiliser as the planting season begins, some of them can\u2019t even find it. For Gideon Idika, an agricultural support officer who assists palm oil, cocoa and cashew farmers in Nigeria\u2019s southeastern Abia State that\u2019s a worry.<\/p>\n
\u201cFarmers are skipping fertilisers because they can\u2019t afford the rising cost, which also means the harvest will be poor,\u201d said Idika, who also oversees a 200-acre palm oil plantation himself. \u201cThe high price has also created opportunity for emergency blenders, who mix whatever they can find and push to the market, most of them of low-quality fertiliser.\u201d<\/p>\n
Read: Global growth cools, delivering cold economic comfort for Africa<\/p>\n
To the west, in Senegal, farmers near the city of Thies bemoaned the rising prices and lack of availability. \u201cI couldn\u2019t get good-quality fertiliser so I\u2019m working with what I can afford rather than what I would normally use,\u201d said Ngoaye Diop, who grows vegetables.<\/p>\n
Across Ghana, most suppliers are struggling to import fertiliser due to shortages or longer arrival times, said Nana-Aisha Mohammed, regional director for the African Fertiliser and Agribusiness Partnership, a nonprofit that works on broadening access to the nutrients. \u201cWe have a crisis on our hands,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n
The potential fallout is pronounced in Malawi, which has already suffered repeated food shortages due to weather shocks such as droughts, floods\u00a0and cyclones in recent years. Squeezed between Zambia, Tanzania and Mozambique, the country ranks as the world\u2019s poorest of any nation not in conflict.<\/p>\n
Between October and March, 22% of Malawians\u00a0experienced acute food insecurity, according to\u00a0the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification, an international partnership that includes UN bodies and the World Bank.<\/p>\n
A better harvest has helped ease the situation, but now fuel costs are some of the highest in the world and fertiliser is getting harder to come by.<\/p>\n
ADVERTISEMENT:<\/p>\n
CONTINUE READING BELOW<\/p>\n
Read:
Zambia cuts rates as inflation eases, bucks global pause
\u2018Food price increases are coming\u2019 \u2013 Boxer CEO<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
Local farming organisations now expect to be at the end of the line for fertiliser supplies from ports in Mozambique and South Africa. If there are shortages, shipments are likely to go to wealthier buyers that are also easier to reach.<\/p>\n
For supplies that do make it, the higher prices are\u00a0likely to make it difficult for Malawi to add to or maintain the subsidies the state provides for the country\u2019s mainly subsistence farmers. The government has been locked in talks with creditors over $13 billion in debt since 2022.<\/p>\n
Read:
US-sanctioned tanker tests Trump blockade with Hormuz exit
Fuel costs soar across Africa, governments race to respond<\/p>\n
Fuel queues are growing, even though the price is more than\u00a0$3.50\u00a0a liter for both diesel and gasoline. The government is selling gold reserves to pay for fuel imports and it\u2019s appealed to the\u00a0World Bank for emergency funds.<\/p>\n
\u201cIt\u2019s crazy when you think about the fact that Malawi is one of the poorest countries in the world and heavily, heavily import dependent and most of those imports come by road,\u201d said Grace Jackson, Malawi country director at\u00a0GiveDirectly, a nonprofit that channels cash from donors to the poor.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe food security situation in Malawi next year is looking really quite scary. We could be looking at millions of people in very, very severe hunger levels.\u201d<\/p>\n
\u00a9 2026 Bloomberg<\/p>\n
#Gulf #shipping #standoff #hits #Africas #vulnerable #farmers<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Landlocked and surrounded by richer, more powerful neighbours, Malawi has long been a victim of…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[4],"tags":[3046,2659,1032,2476,1181,3561,4228],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stock999.top\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6431"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stock999.top\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stock999.top\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stock999.top\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stock999.top\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6431"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stock999.top\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6431\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stock999.top\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6431"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stock999.top\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6431"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stock999.top\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6431"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}