Putin secures another strategic ally as Trump focuses on Iran

At a barracks near Madagascar’s main airport, Colonel Michael Randrianirina publicly thanked Russian President Vladimir Putin for a shipment of military equipment, vehicles and food aid – underscoring a rapidly deepening relationship between the two countries.

The moment may have drawn little global attention, but it signals a broader strategic push by Moscow to expand its footprint in Africa – particularly as geopolitical tensions elsewhere divert Western focus.

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Madagascar’s recent leadership change has opened the door for closer ties with Russia, which has moved quickly to establish military, political and economic links. The island’s location – along a key Indian Ocean shipping route near gas-rich Mozambique – adds to its strategic appeal.

Russia has backed the new administration with security support, equipment and training, while also stepping up diplomatic and commercial engagement. Officials from state-linked entities have explored opportunities to expand trade and cooperation, including in energy.

The relationship extends beyond defence. A pro-Russia political movement has emerged locally, advocating stronger alignment with Moscow and the broader BRICS bloc.

For Russia, the strategy reflects a familiar playbook: targeting politically fragile states with offers of security support and access to resources. Madagascar’s significant reserves of cobalt, graphite and rare earths – all critical for battery production – make it particularly attractive.

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The country’s leadership, meanwhile, appears to be pursuing a more diversified foreign policy. By strengthening ties with Russia while maintaining links with traditional partners such as France, it is seeking greater leverage on the global stage.

Analysts say the arrangement is mutually beneficial. Madagascar gains political backing and security assistance, while Russia secures influence in a strategically important region – at a time when global attention is focused elsewhere.

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